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On the social cost of carbon and discounting in the DICE model

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posted on 2025-05-09, 21:33 authored by Philipp Braun, Timm Faulwasser, Lars Grüne, Christopher KellettChristopher Kellett, Willi Semmler, Steven WellerSteven Weller
The social cost of carbon (SCC) has emerged as one of the relevant measures in integrated assessment models in climate economics, to quantify costs related to global warming and climate change. While the SCC is used in different models, including DICE (Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and Economy), PAGE (Policy Analysis of the Greenhouse Effect), and FUND (Climate Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation, and Distribution), its exact definition and computation depend on the reference and, frequently lacking consistency within research streams whether focusing on a single model or on different models. In this study, we investigated three different methods for the computation of the SCC using the integrated assessment model DICE. While the first two methods are commonly known and used, the novel formula derived for the third method allows a direct analysis of the impact of the discount factor in the calculation of the SCC. We provide a detailed proof for the correctness of the third method and validate the consistency of all three methods by numerical experiments.

History

Journal title

AIMS Environmental Science

Volume

11

Issue

3

Pagination

471-495

Publisher

AIMS Press

Language

  • en, English

College/Research Centre

College of Engineering, Science and Environment

School

School of Engineering

Rights statement

© 2024 the Author(s), licensee AIMS Press. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0).

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