The paper conjectures that there has been a fundamental shift in the way the labour market interacts with the inflation generating process in Australia around the time of the 1991 recession. The results suggest that the short-term unemployment rate (STUR) constrains the annual inflation rate more than the overall unemployment rate (UR) and that the level of underemployment (UE) exerts a separate negative impact on the inflation process. It is clear that within-firm excess supply of labour is now an important disciplining factor on price inflation.
History
Source title
Reconstructing the Full Employment Narrative: 14th Path to Full Employment Conference and the 19th National Conference on Unemployment: Proceedings
Name of conference
14th Path to Full Employment / 19th National Unemployment Conference
Location
Newcastle
Start date
2013-12-04
End date
2013-12-05
Pagination
203-214
Publisher
Centre of Full Employment and Equity, The University of Newcastle